The market is depressed. The people are not.
The debt markets exist. But you are looking at a lot less for a short term costing a lot more. A lot of the banks will be properly back into the game by 2010. It will help to have companies based in ship finance exporting countries.
The capital markets exist. The bond market is open at very reasonable rates. The equity markets are open for existing issuers but valuations are poor.
We may have a rebound this year thanks to stimulus plans and fiscal loosening, but the underlying damage is done. Banks will eventually HAVE to account for their losses. The write-downs have to come from somewhere and government debt is hardly the answer. Unless they wait years with the balance sheets impaired.
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Prior to the start of the festivities, Teekay Corporation held its successful shareholders meeting. The room was filled with over 100 spectators with another 200 viewing through the webcast. What was extremely interesting to hear from the Teekay delegation was the acknowledgement that they did not recognize many of the people in the room. Fresh blood!
The first session began under cloudy but dry skies an unusual event in New York these days. The room was packed with the audience hoping to glean insights from last year’s deal of the year winners as the architects of the transactions discussed their deals and how they fit in today’s marketplace. The discussion was led by Stephen Peepels of DLA Piper.
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