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NYMAR Live from the NYSE.
The new year’s first serious shipping gathering in NY took place under the aegis of the NY Maritime Association at the New York Stock Exchange. It was an animated audience that filled the Stock Exchange’s stately hall, though we noted the Exchange’s head of events was relieved that unlike Marine Money Week in 2008 he did not have to contend with 150 more guests than NY City fire codes allowed.
Peter Shaerf, AMA Capital partner and President of NYMAR welcomed the crowd and Bob Gruendel, Partner at DLA Piper brought us to the point of Gazing into the Future through the Crystal Ball and wisely at that point turned to Peter Georgiopoulos, Chairman of Genmar, Genco and Aegean, Duncan Neiderauer, NYSE, CEO and Harvey Pitt currently CEO of Kalorama Partners, but former Head of the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
The following is a short summary paraphrasing the comments, note paraphrasing:
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Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, Market Commentary | January 14th, 2010 | Add a Comment
Investing and Investment Banking
The market is depressed. The people are not.
The debt markets exist. But you are looking at a lot less for a short term costing a lot more. A lot of the banks will be properly back into the game by 2010. It will help to have companies based in ship finance exporting countries.
The capital markets exist. The bond market is open at very reasonable rates. The equity markets are open for existing issuers but valuations are poor.
We may have a rebound this year thanks to stimulus plans and fiscal loosening, but the underlying damage is done. Banks will eventually HAVE to account for their losses. The write-downs have to come from somewhere and government debt is hardly the answer. Unless they wait years with the balance sheets impaired.
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Peter G. Goes Green
Having successfully formed two publicly listed shipping companies and backed one bunkering/logistics company in its listing bid, Peter Georgiopoulos has turned his attention to a different kind of challenge. He is embracing the twin goals of moving into private equity fund management and, more importantly, attempting to make the maritime industry more environmentally friendly.
Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, The Week in Review | April 17th, 2008 | Add a Comment
Sentiment Turns
In a welcome turn of events, the market was resoundingly upbeat this week. The pace of transactions picked up notably across sectors, and we can’t help but view this as a positive sign for the financing market going forward.
On the M&A front Excel and Quintana successfully closed their merger. Each issued and outstanding share of Quintana common stock was converted into the right to receive $13.00 in cash and 0.3979 Excel Class A common shares. The merger creates a combined company that operates a fleet of 47 vessels with a total carrying capacity of approximately 3.7 million DWT and an average age of approximately eight years. Stamatis Molaris stepped into the role of CEO of the combined company, while Hans Mende, Corbin Robertson III and Paul Cornell joined its board of directors. We were happy to hear that the deal was executed smoothly. Moreover, Nordea and the underwriting team were successful in syndicating the debt levels required to make the deal possible – without needing to bring market flex provisions into play.
Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, The Week in Review | April 17th, 2008 | Add a Comment
Peter Bell Goes to GenMar
General Maritime Management has hired Teekay Shipping MD Peter Bell to take over as Senior Vice President and Head of Commercial in a bid to boost charter rate performance. Peter Georgiopoulos commented, “The depth of Peter’s experience in the shipping industry, extensive relationships with major oil companies and his proven chartering leadership greatly enhances the company’s commercial position. The combination of Peter’s leadership with our quality fleet positions General Maritime to continue meeting the exacting requirements of our customers while delivering value to both the company and shareholders.”
Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, The Week in Review | June 30th, 2005 | Add a Comment
Peter G.’s Genco Files for Nasdaq IPO
Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd filed for its Nasdaq IPO with the U.S. SEC on Monday. The company is looking to raise up to $350 million with the offering. It is 100% owned by Fleet Acquisition LLC, a limited liability company organized in September of 2004 that is 66.53% owned by Oaktree Capital Management, 26.63% owned by Peter Georgiopoulos and 6.84% owned by others. Jefferies & Company and Morgan Stanley are serving as the underwriters; notably Jefferies, certainly the smaller of the two firms, is listed first in the prospectus. As Genco is a U.S.-issuer whole filing indicates only the early stages of the company’s comment period with the SEC, we consider it safe to wait until a later date to take a more detailed look into the prospectus. But stay tuned!
Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, The Week in Review | May 12th, 2005 | Add a Comment
CMA Hosts Connecticut Shipping 2005
The Connecticut Maritime Association this week hosted in Stamford, CT its most successful tradeshow yet. Over 1,200 shipping professionals from around the country and around the world signed up for the event; we can only imagine that even more attended. From exhibitor booths to panel discussions led by experts in a myriad of shipping fields to business meetings, luncheons and cocktail receptions, there was certainly something for everybody.
The Westin Hotel in Stamford was definitely the place to be this week. Faithful exhibitors set up booths where one could learn about everything from ship registries to environmental consulting to high-speed, affordable offshore internet access. It certainly would have taken more than the three days’ time available to get to each one.
But you wouldn’t want to spend your whole time just wandering around and taking it all in – aside from developing new business contacts and meeting up with old friends, there were presentations and panel discussions running almost continuously that featured distinguished leaders of the global shipping industry and dealt with a variety of the important issues that are facing shippers today.
Not surprisingly, there was a great deal of speculation about the future in regards to how long the current market can last, if and how far it will have to come down off its highs, and how China, and eventually India, will impact the market as they continue to evolve. Some time was also spent taking in the current shipping environment. Dr. Arlie Sterling of Marsoft observed happily “This market has exploded, and it’s done so with great style,” while Gary Vogel of VOC Shipholding noted more cautiously “the more things change, the more they stay the same.” Frederick Chavalit Tsao of IMC Holdings and INTERCARGO had a different take on the changing world, telling his audience that one must be proactive in managing change in order to achieve sustainability.
And the owners who spoke sounded up to the challenge. Rather than speculate on the future, a number of speakers, including Giuseppe M. Rizzo of Bottiglieri di Navigazione SpA and Robert Bugbee of OMI, discussed strategies to sustain their companies, come what may in the markets. For three days, often in multiple sessions at once, shipping and other professionals discussed issues ranging from safety to crewing to currency and FFAs.
At night time, there were dinners, parties, and of course the Greenwich Marine Club. Three exhilarating days were capped off with CMA’s annual Gala dinner, where Fort Schuyler cadets entertained with their songs and Ole Skaarup regaled the audience with tales of life, death and past commodores. Peter Georgiopoulos handed his commodore hat to Sean Day, and then Peter Drakos presented a donation on behalf of the CMA to the Seamen’s Church, who returned graciously that the CMA would be presented with the Seamen’s Church’s own Silver Bell award in June.
Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, Market Commentary | March 24th, 2005 | Add a Comment
New York Conference Features Shipping Star Power
New York Conference Features Shipping Star Power
Last week’s Hellenic-/Norwegian-American Chambers of Commerce Joint Shipping Conference offered a plethora of luminaries from shipping’s universe. Between OSG’s Morten Arntzen, Teekay’s Sean Day, GenMar’s Peter Georgiopoulos, Tidewater’s Dean Taylor, NCL’s Colin Veitch, BP’s Bob Malone, Heidmar’s Per Heidenreich, Wilh. Wilhelmsen, Leif Hoegh, Navios’ Robert Shaw, Intrepid Shipping’s Richard du Moulin, Free Bulkers George Gourdomichalis, CR Weber’s Basil Mavroleon, Healy & Baillie’s Glen Oxton, and DNV’s Tor Svensen the bulk of the world’s tonnage was well represented.
The theme of the conference was “Shipping without Borders” which transcended from national identity to the impact of new technologies and landed squarely on the challenges of doing business in America. Or should we say the many challenges of doing business in the (50) States?
Per Heidenreich welcomed the assembled with the observation that “2004 was the most incredible shipping market in history, with Wall Street showing an alarming interest in shipping”. He reflected that the Norwegians are “awfully quiet” and urged them to learn what “makes the Greeks tick.”
The Greek contingent was happy to comply, with George Gourdomichalis offering the strengths of the Greek approach: Piraeus as a maritime cluster, a favorable tax climate, and the transition of Greek family-owned operations to corporations. As a counterpoint, Leif Hoegh underscored the decline in Norwegian shipping, both in the bulk and tanker trades as well as in the yard order book. He further advocated the Greek regard for shipping: “When you go to Piraeus, even the taxi drivers know about tankers. Piraeus is an exhilarating place!” When pressed as to whether the Leif Hoegh company would return to Norway, Mr. Hoegh’s one-word answer was a resounding “No”.
While acknowledging the decline of Norway’s shipping sector, Marianne Lie, Director General of the Norwegian Shipowners’ Association, presented the proposed tax and legislative changes within Norway designed to reinvigorate its maritime industry. The key word is “proposed”. Tor Svensen of DNV attempted to breach the gap by offering the concept of geographic co-location, while Anthony Argyropoulos, newly at Cantor Fitzgerald, adroitly attributed the Greek interest in the capital markets to their entrepreneurial spirit, without discouraging Norwegian interest.
After an overview of the freight futures market by Robert Shaw of Navios, technological advances in this field were covered by Basil Mavroleon of CR Weber, who helped transition the conference by eliminating borders entirely. In his call to action on FFA’s (Forward Freight Agreements), Basil reflected “If, as I believe it will, this market continues to strengthen, who, with underlying physical positions can continue to ignore participation in it – surely we must all find a way to engage with it, learn to utilize it to our benefit and play some part in the growth curve”. Implementation was discussed by Barry Bednar of J. Aron & Company and Tom Even Mortensen of IMAREX.
Wilhelm Wilhelmsen offered a global perspective as the conference’s luncheon keynote speaker. His answer to whether national identity has become irrelevant was a conditional “Yes”. Despite being Norway’s oldest and largest shipping enterprise, only 5% of the company’s employees have Norwegian as their mother tongue, and only a handful of ship calls handled by the company last year were in Norway. He feels that the shipping industry is “almost unwanted by the Norwegian authorities…many (companies) feel strongly that they are literally being kicked out.” Norway is the only major shipping nation that is in decline, with the government “destroying an industry which actually has everything required to ensure good and stable revenues for my country in the future.”
Turning the focus to doing business in the Americas, Sean Day of Teekay pointed to the industry’s image in the financial markets resulting in investor differentiation, and a greater scrutiny on quality of both fleets and management. Mr. Day declared Sarbanes-Oxley a “time sink” and expensive, while acknowledging that Teekay is a foreign filer that complies with US requirements.
Bob Malone of BP Shipping stated that his company’s strategy is to own ships in order to manage risk (against incidents). He felt the need to regain the public trust by managing the company, and pointed to the benefits gained through compliance with Sarbanes-Oxley.
Peter Georgiopoulos of GenMar struck a profoundly wistful note, reflecting that he used to think shipping connoted yachts, former US President’s wives and opera singers, but quickly learned that the world of shipping revolves around OPA, ISM and SARBOX. Regulation is making shipping increasingly expensive, and much less desirable.
OSG’s Morten Arntzen lifted everyone’s mood with his list of “Top Ten Challenges Facing Executives of American Shipping Companies Competing Internationally” (including finding an affordable Starbucks coffee in Europe, explaining why a suezmax built in the United States costs $240 million, and repeating “Foreign Corrupt Practices Act” 10 times). Mr. Arntzen demonstrated to the market doomsayers why the tanker industry of today is dramatically different from that of the early 70’s. He further went on to tout the merits of Sarbanes-Oxley as a significant management tool, and highlighted the benefits accruing to OSG from the recent Job Creation Act of 2004, with its attendant tonnage tax scheme for US-flag shipping.
Dean Taylor of Tidewater reiterated the challenges of doing business in the US amidst extensive and expensive regulation. Mr. Taylor’s remarks were surprisingly dour, considering the profitable condition of Tidewater and their enviable earnings multiple.
Norwegian Cruise Line’s Colin Veitch delivered an overview of how, and why, they decided to pursue a US-flag strategy despite the costs and challenges. Interestingly, it was Mr. Veitch who called upon industry to be proactive, rather than reactive, about regulation (such as environmental policies). With his extensive experience in the public sector, perhaps his suggestion to influence perception could inspire action leading to a positive image for shipping??
Last week’s Hellenic-/Norwegian-American Chambers of Commerce Joint Shipping Conference offered a plethora of luminaries from shipping’s universe. Between OSG’s Morten Arntzen, Teekay’s Sean Day, GenMar’s Peter Georgiopoulos, Tidewater’s Dean Taylor, NCL’s Colin Veitch, BP’s Bob Malone, Heidmar’s Per Heidenreich, Wilh. Wilhelmsen, Leif Hoegh, Navios’ Robert Shaw, Intrepid Shipping’s Richard du Moulin, Free Bulkers George Gourdomichalis, CR Weber’s Basil Mavroleon, Healy & Baillie’s Glen Oxton, and DNV’s Tor Svensen the bulk of the world’s tonnage was well represented.
The theme of the conference was “Shipping without Borders” which transcended from national identity to the impact of new technologies and landed squarely on the challenges of doing business in America. Or should we say the many challenges of doing business in the (50) States?
Per Heidenreich welcomed the assembled with the observation that “2004 was the most incredible shipping market in history, with Wall Street showing an alarming interest in shipping”. He reflected that the Norwegians are “awfully quiet” and urged them to learn what “makes the Greeks tick.”
The Greek contingent was happy to comply, with George Gourdomichalis offering the strengths of the Greek approach: Piraeus as a maritime cluster, a favorable tax climate, and the transition of Greek family-owned operations to corporations. As a counterpoint, Leif Hoegh underscored the decline in Norwegian shipping, both in the bulk and tanker trades as well as in the yard order book. He further advocated the Greek regard for shipping: “When you go to Piraeus, even the taxi drivers know about tankers. Piraeus is an exhilarating place!” When pressed as to whether the Leif Hoegh company would return to Norway, Mr. Hoegh’s one-word answer was a resounding “No”.
While acknowledging the decline of Norway’s shipping sector, Marianne Lie, Director General of the Norwegian Shipowners’ Association, presented the proposed tax and legislative changes within Norway designed to reinvigorate its maritime industry. The key word is “proposed”. Tor Svensen of DNV attempted to breach the gap by offering the concept of geographic co-location, while Anthony Argyropoulos, newly at Cantor Fitzgerald, adroitly attributed the Greek interest in the capital markets to their entrepreneurial spirit, without discouraging Norwegian interest.
After an overview of the freight futures market by Robert Shaw of Navios, technological advances in this field were covered by Basil Mavroleon of CR Weber, who helped transition the conference by eliminating borders entirely. In his call to action on FFA’s (Forward Freight Agreements), Basil reflected “If, as I believe it will, this market continues to strengthen, who, with underlying physical positions can continue to ignore participation in it – surely we must all find a way to engage with it, learn to utilize it to our benefit and play some part in the growth curve”. Implementation was discussed by Barry Bednar of J. Aron & Company and Tom Even Mortensen of IMAREX.
Wilhelm Wilhelmsen offered a global perspective as the conference’s luncheon keynote speaker. His answer to whether national identity has become irrelevant was a conditional “Yes”. Despite being Norway’s oldest and largest shipping enterprise, only 5% of the company’s employees have Norwegian as their mother tongue, and only a handful of ship calls handled by the company last year were in Norway. He feels that the shipping industry is “almost unwanted by the Norwegian authorities…many (companies) feel strongly that they are literally being kicked out.” Norway is the only major shipping nation that is in decline, with the government “destroying an industry which actually has everything required to ensure good and stable revenues for my country in the future.”
Turning the focus to doing business in the Americas, Sean Day of Teekay pointed to the industry’s image in the financial markets resulting in investor differentiation, and a greater scrutiny on quality of both fleets and management. Mr. Day declared Sarbanes-Oxley a “time sink” and expensive, while acknowledging that Teekay is a foreign filer that complies with US requirements.
Bob Malone of BP Shipping stated that his company’s strategy is to own ships in order to manage risk (against incidents). He felt the need to regain the public trust by managing the company, and pointed to the benefits gained through compliance with Sarbanes-Oxley.
Peter Georgiopoulos of GenMar struck a profoundly wistful note, reflecting that he used to think shipping connoted yachts, former US President’s wives and opera singers, but quickly learned that the world of shipping revolves around OPA, ISM and SARBOX. Regulation is making shipping increasingly expensive, and much less desirable.
OSG’s Morten Arntzen lifted everyone’s mood with his list of “Top Ten Challenges Facing Executives of American Shipping Companies Competing Internationally” (including finding an affordable Starbucks coffee in Europe, explaining why a suezmax built in the United States costs $240 million, and repeating “Foreign Corrupt Practices Act” 10 times). Mr. Arntzen demonstrated to the market doomsayers why the tanker industry of today is dramatically different from that of the early 70’s. He further went on to tout the merits of Sarbanes-Oxley as a significant management tool, and highlighted the benefits accruing to OSG from the recent Job Creation Act of 2004, with its attendant tonnage tax scheme for US-flag shipping.
Dean Taylor of Tidewater reiterated the challenges of doing business in the US amidst extensive and expensive regulation. Mr. Taylor’s remarks were surprisingly dour, considering the profitable condition of Tidewater and their enviable earnings multiple.
Norwegian Cruise Line’s Colin Veitch delivered an overview of how, and why, they decided to pursue a US-flag strategy despite the costs and challenges. Interestingly, it was Mr. Veitch who called upon industry to be proactive, rather than reactive, about regulation (such as environmental policies). With his extensive experience in the public sector, perhaps his suggestion to influence perception could inspire action leading to a positive image for shipping??
General Maritime Announces Dividend Policy, Picks up Premium
General Maritime Announces Dividend Policy, Picks up Premium
In what we can only assume is an effort to drive up the General Maritime share price in advance of Frontline’s potentially hostile take over, General Maritime has adopted a dividend policy. The play here is that dividend yield paying stocks like Knightsbridge and NAT are being valued on a multiple of dividends, which is significantly higher than the tanker companies that pay small dividends (less than 5 percent) or no dividends at all. The chart on page 2 illustrates this phenomenon
GMR Shares a BUY, with Potential to Reach $53, $62…or Even $76
Based on an NAV of $41.83/share, as estimated by Jefferies, General Maritime would be worth over $76 if it was valued the same way as NAT, and even if it was valued like the more modest yield play Knightsbridge, the share price would still go up over $62. Analysts were quick to match General Maritime’s shift in strategy to a shift in target valuation. Even before the dividend policy announcement, Dahlman Rose & Co. analyst Harvey Stober had initiated coverage on General Maritime with a BUY on January 19, noting that: “With cash accumulating quickly, GMR has the wherewithal to institute a significant dividend or major share repurchase program.” Not long after, General Maritime announced just such a plan. Morgan Stanley quickly moved its target P/NAV for GMR up to 150%, upgrading the company to Overweight V with a target share price of $53. The more bullish Jefferies & Company set a target price at $62, close to what GMR would be at VLCCF’s valuation. What we did not see in the reports, however, was a mention of Frontline.
A Future with FRO? Depends on the Price
Peter Georgiopoulos and Jeff Pribor spoke confidently of making accretive acquisitions and growing the company in their conference call, and for the most part questions from listeners revolved around the details of their plans. Only Natasha Boyden of Cantor Fitzgerald ventured to directly ask about the situation with Frontline and whether this action would have an impact. To this there was a pause, followed by a cautious “I don’t know” before the more confident answer that this strategy change was the result of a long study and careful consideration of company strategy. But then just yesterday Bloomberg TV reported that General Maritime would be interested in a merger with Frontline, saying that Peter Georgiopoulos commented that the rival oil tanker operator would have to pay heavily in cash if he wished to purchase the company.
Whether or not this is in the cards, Mr. Georgiopoulos and Mr. Pribor have already succeeded in having their company reevaluated by leading analysts – Magnus Fyhr and Douglas Mavrinac at Jefferies and Mark MacLean and Ole Slorer at Morgan Stanley – and have watched their stock price shoot up an astonishing 9.81% to $44.65 in just one day. Not only that, but the terms of the dividend policy specify the Board of Director’s intent to establish reserves for maintenance and capital expenditures probably equating to around $100 million in 2005. So while they immediately picked up the premium in share price, the company should have a grace period before it actually has to pay out any cash.
In what we can only assume is an effort to drive up the General Maritime share price in advance of Frontline’s potentially hostile take over, General Maritime has adopted a dividend policy. The play here is that dividend yield paying stocks like Knightsbridge and NAT are being valued on a multiple of dividends, which is significantly higher than the tanker companies that pay small dividends (less than 5 percent) or no dividends at all. The chart on page 2 illustrates this phenomenon
GMR Shares a BUY, with Potential to Reach $53, $62…or Even $76
Based on an NAV of $41.83/share, as estimated by Jefferies, General Maritime would be worth over $76 if it was valued the same way as NAT, and even if it was valued like the more modest yield play Knightsbridge, the share price would still go up over $62. Analysts were quick to match General Maritime’s shift in strategy to a shift in target valuation. Even before the dividend policy announcement, Dahlman Rose & Co. analyst Harvey Stober had initiated coverage on General Maritime with a BUY on January 19, noting that: “With cash accumulating quickly, GMR has the wherewithal to institute a significant dividend or major share repurchase program.” Not long after, General Maritime announced just such a plan. Morgan Stanley quickly moved its target P/NAV for GMR up to 150%, upgrading the company to Overweight V with a target share price of $53. The more bullish Jefferies & Company set a target price at $62, close to what GMR would be at VLCCF’s valuation. What we did not see in the reports, however, was a mention of Frontline.
A Future with FRO? Depends on the Price
Peter Georgiopoulos and Jeff Pribor spoke confidently of making accretive acquisitions and growing the company in their conference call, and for the most part questions from listeners revolved around the details of their plans. Only Natasha Boyden of Cantor Fitzgerald ventured to directly ask about the situation with Frontline and whether this action would have an impact. To this there was a pause, followed by a cautious “I don’t know” before the more confident answer that this strategy change was the result of a long study and careful consideration of company strategy. But then just yesterday Bloomberg TV reported that General Maritime would be interested in a merger with Frontline, saying that Peter Georgiopoulos commented that the rival oil tanker operator would have to pay heavily in cash if he wished to purchase the company.
Whether or not this is in the cards, Mr. Georgiopoulos and Mr. Pribor have already succeeded in having their company reevaluated by leading analysts – Magnus Fyhr and Douglas Mavrinac at Jefferies and Mark MacLean and Ole Slorer at Morgan Stanley – and have watched their stock price shoot up an astonishing 9.81% to $44.65 in just one day. Not only that, but the terms of the dividend policy specify the Board of Director’s intent to establish reserves for maintenance and capital expenditures probably equating to around $100 million in 2005. So while they immediately picked up the premium in share price, the company should have a grace period before it actually has to pay out any cash.
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