Shipping High Yield – It’s Back and Just in Time

By Ethan Ram, DVB Capital Markets LLC

In light of the recent offerings by Hornbeck and Seacor, Ethan Ram’s latest capital markets offering could not be more timely, as the industry searches for alternatives to bank debt.

The tight supply of ship mortgage debt has highlighted the shipping industry’s need for alternative sources of capital, and the role the capital markets can play in ship finance. In recent months, many shipping companies, public and private, have resorted to raising equity to fund themselves, in some cases diluting shareholders in order to bring themselves into compliance with their bank facilities. For those companies that are eligible, however, an alternative to issuing dilutive equity is to tap the high yield bond market, where recent developments have made conditions highly favorable for issuers.

The high yield market got off to slow start in 2009 in a continuation of the preceding four quarters of 2008 which saw the volume of new issuance shrink to the lowest level in nearly ten years and yields for the average high yield bond expand to over 20%. In April, however, there was a surge of new issuance and since then the high yield market has not looked back. Driven by a sustained period of net capital flows into bond funds totaling $15.9 billion (31 of the past 36 weeks have registered net inflows), positive market sentiment on the back of rising equity markets (the DOW and the S&P 500 have risen 48% and 56%, respectively, since their March lows), the past five months have seen a renewed investor appetite for high yield bonds. Today yields have compressed to below 9% for the average high yield bond and, despite the slow start, 2009 is on track to be a solid year in terms of amount raised and number of transactions.
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Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, The Week in Review | September 24th, 2009 | Add a Comment

Award Affirmed

As we prepared to make the formal presentation of Dealmaker of the Year to Angeliki Frangou and her Navios team at Marine Money Week, we learned that she concluded yet another innovative deal and one that is certainly representative of the times in which we find ourselves. In a sense, she married an opportunity to the solution of the larger financial issue facing our industry.

Last Monday, Navios announced the acquisition of four newbuilding Capesize vessels currently under construction at a South Korean shipyard. Three of the vessels were purchased from companies controlled by Commerzbank AG. The seller of the 4th was not disclosed.

Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, The Week in Review | July 2nd, 2009 | Add a Comment

Investing and Investment Banking

The market is depressed. The people are not.
The debt markets exist. But you are looking at a lot less for a short term costing a lot more. A lot of the banks will be properly back into the game by 2010. It will help to have companies based in ship finance exporting countries.

The capital markets exist. The bond market is open at very reasonable rates. The equity markets are open for existing issuers but valuations are poor.

We may have a rebound this year thanks to stimulus plans and fiscal loosening, but the underlying damage is done. Banks will eventually HAVE to account for their losses. The write-downs have to come from somewhere and government debt is hardly the answer. Unless they wait years with the balance sheets impaired.
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Written by: nhuvane | Categories: Conferences, Freshly Minted | June 25th, 2009 | Add a Comment

Ka-ching for your 401K

Although the financial press is full of articles touting corporate bonds as a great investment, we failed to pay attention. After all, it is hard to unlearn the lessons of the world’s greatest investors who promoted only of the stock market based upon fears of inflation. Well, we know where that got us.

Although recently the market has shown signs of life, a look at the Jefferies High Yield Issues, which regularly appear in this publication, highlights the opportunities for returns that might rival those in the stock market in at least the near term, if not longer. Moreover, the bonds are more secure holding a higher place in the capital structure, and some are even secured by assets.

Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, Market Commentary | April 16th, 2009 | Add a Comment

Bigger, Better… Forever

We don’t know how they do it, but this year’s CMA’s shipping and trade conference and exposition, “Shipping 2009”, was not only the biggest ever but showed the resilience of the industry. The ladies of CMA, who run the conference like a well-oiled machine, tell us attendance exceeded 2,200. If sports arenas are named after corporations, it seems only fair that the Hilton be renamed the CMA during this annual event.

The success of this event is attributable to the fact that it reaches out to the whole industry and covers all of the issues it faces. This year the shipping markets and piracy got equal billing. While, naturally, our main focus is on the shipping markets, Professor Christopher Coker’s presentation on piracy highlighted its significance, permanence and far-reaching risks, if it becomes linked with terrorism. For us, the rude awakening was his statement that unlike the 19th century when piracy was eradicated, today the best we can hope for is to “manage risks.” And, if we are unsuccessful even in that, we will have far more serious issues. The speech is a must read for its realistic but unfortunately bleak perspective of our future.

From the extensive three day program our chairman puts together with the assistance of the CMA, we have selected the following as perhaps being of the greatest interest to our readers.

Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, Market Commentary | March 26th, 2009 | Add a Comment

TMI?

What a week for investors! Starting with CMA’s annual event, continuing with JPMorgan’s Conference and concluding with the Capital Link Forum, it is conceivable that even the most interested observer of the industry may have suffered from information overload. Thankfully, with Good Friday, many of us had the opportunity to recover with a long-weekend.

Despite the early start, the Capital Link Forum played to a full house. There were company presentations galore interspersed with lively and informative panel discussions. With far too much information to distill, here is a highly selected compendium of our outtakes.

Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, Market Commentary | March 27th, 2008 | Add a Comment

CMA’s Irish Feis

CMA’s 2008 Shipping Conference got off to a brilliant start on St. Patrick’s Day. It was not only bigger, 2,000 attendees by latest count, but if possible was one of the best ever in terms of content. Understanding that everyone is Irish on St. Patrick’s Day, the organizers brought Ireland to the conference much to the chagrin of the local pubs, Tiernan’s and Tigin. Bob Kunkel of Seacoast Electronics was serving Guinness and Harps at the Seacoast booth and then brought in the pipes and drums from the Rockland County Emerald Society for entertainment.

It is grossly unfair to gloss over the program, which is dedicated to every part of shipping, but it would also be impossible to describe it all. So instead we will exhibit our prejudice and focus on the market sessions.

Written by: carisk | Categories: Conferences, Freshly Minted, Market Commentary | March 20th, 2008 | Add a Comment

Athenian and Viking Confab

In front of a packed crowd at the New York Helmsley, the Hellenic-American and Norwegian-American Chambers of Commerce held their 14th Annual Joint Shipping Conference under the catchy title “Are the Bulls and the Bears Right?”

The day started off with derivatives, a tough topic for early in the morning. Nevertheless, the presenters pulled it off and kept everyone interested. To start off Robert Shaw of Mystras Ventures gave a great overview and primer on freight derivatives. In particular, he emphasized their importance of derivatives for hedging but noted that freight volatility and correlation with other commodities has attracted financial players into the market, a recurrent theme.

Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, The Week in Review | February 7th, 2008 | Add a Comment

2007 Draws to a Close

And what a year it’s been. Marked by skyrocketing dry bulk markets, somewhat less stellar but improved wet markets, and a vicious credit crunch, whose reach has gradually gone beyond transaction volume into cut into staff – and some holiday parties. Still, the bankers we’ve talked to have remained extremely busy and transaction volume continues to flow, if a little more cautiously. Chembulk and TECO have closed their respective acquisitions, and Teekay, Navios and OSG have successfully spun out new parts of their businesses to the public markets. Mr. Economou has flipped his Ocean Rig stake from private interests to public within days of purchasing it.

As we remember the year gone by please take a moment, if you haven’t already, to nominate your favorite transaction(s) from 2007 either through our anonymous submission form at:
http://www.surveymonkey.com/s.aspx?sm=VHHjXJnAw3UzphYnjLhgBg_3d_3d or by sending an email to nhuvane@marinemoney.com.

Please note that our US offices will be closed the week of December 24th and there will be no new edition of Freshly Minted published. We wish you all a very merry Christmas, a happy and prosperous New Year, and look forward to welcoming you back in 2008.

Written by: carisk | Categories: Freshly Minted, The Week in Review | December 20th, 2007 | Add a Comment

New York Conference Features Shipping Star Power

Last week’s Hellenic-/Norwegian-American Chambers of Commerce Joint Shipping Conference offered a plethora of luminaries from shipping’s universe. Between OSG’s Morten Arntzen, Teekay’s Sean Day, GenMar’s Peter Georgiopoulos, Tidewater’s Dean Taylor, NCL’s Colin Veitch, BP’s Bob Malone, Heidmar’s Per Heidenreich, Wilh. Wilhelmsen, Leif Hoegh, Navios’ Robert Shaw, Intrepid Shipping’s Richard du Moulin, Free Bulkers George Gourdomichalis, CR Weber’s Basil Mavroleon, Healy & Baillie’s Glen Oxton, and DNV’s Tor Svensen the bulk of the world’s tonnage was well represented.

The theme of the conference was “Shipping without Borders” which transcended from national identity to the impact of new technologies and landed squarely on the challenges of doing business in America. Or should we say the many challenges of doing business in the (50) States?

Per Heidenreich welcomed the assembled with the observation that “2004 was the most incredible shipping market in history, with Wall Street showing an alarming interest in shipping”. He reflected that the Norwegians are “awfully quiet” and urged them to learn what “makes the Greeks tick.”

The Greek contingent was happy to comply, with George Gourdomichalis offering the strengths of the Greek approach: Piraeus as a maritime cluster, a favorable tax climate, and the transition of Greek family-owned operations to corporations. As a counterpoint, Leif Hoegh underscored the decline in Norwegian shipping, both in the bulk and tanker trades as well as in the yard order book. He further advocated the Greek regard for shipping: “When you go to Piraeus, even the taxi drivers know about tankers. Piraeus is an exhilarating place!” When pressed as to whether the Leif Hoegh company would return to Norway, Mr. Hoegh’s one-word answer was a resounding “No”.

While acknowledging the decline of Norway’s shipping sector, Marianne Lie, Director General of the Norwegian Shipowners’ Association, presented the proposed tax and legislative changes within Norway designed to reinvigorate its maritime industry. The key word is “proposed”. Tor Svensen of DNV attempted to breach the gap by offering the concept of geographic co-location, while Anthony Argyropoulos, newly at Cantor Fitzgerald, adroitly attributed the Greek interest in the capital markets to their entrepreneurial spirit, without discouraging Norwegian interest.

After an overview of the freight futures market by Robert Shaw of Navios, technological advances in this field were covered by Basil Mavroleon of CR Weber, who helped transition the conference by eliminating borders entirely. In his call to action on FFA’s (Forward Freight Agreements), Basil reflected “If, as I believe it will, this market continues to strengthen, who, with underlying physical positions can continue to ignore participation in it – surely we must all find a way to engage with it, learn to utilize it to our benefit and play some part in the growth curve”. Implementation was discussed by Barry Bednar of J. Aron & Company and Tom Even Mortensen of IMAREX.

Wilhelm Wilhelmsen offered a global perspective as the conference’s luncheon keynote speaker. His answer to whether national identity has become irrelevant was a conditional “Yes”. Despite being Norway’s oldest and largest shipping enterprise, only 5% of the company’s employees have Norwegian as their mother tongue, and only a handful of ship calls handled by the company last year were in Norway. He feels that the shipping industry is “almost unwanted by the Norwegian authorities…many (companies) feel strongly that they are literally being kicked out.” Norway is the only major shipping nation that is in decline, with the government “destroying an industry which actually has everything required to ensure good and stable revenues for my country in the future.”

Turning the focus to doing business in the Americas, Sean Day of Teekay pointed to the industry’s image in the financial markets resulting in investor differentiation, and a greater scrutiny on quality of both fleets and management. Mr. Day declared Sarbanes-Oxley a “time sink” and expensive, while acknowledging that Teekay is a foreign filer that complies with US requirements.

Bob Malone of BP Shipping stated that his company’s strategy is to own ships in order to manage risk (against incidents). He felt the need to regain the public trust by managing the company, and pointed to the benefits gained through compliance with Sarbanes-Oxley.

Peter Georgiopoulos of GenMar struck a profoundly wistful note, reflecting that he used to think shipping connoted yachts, former US President’s wives and opera singers, but quickly learned that the world of shipping revolves around OPA, ISM and SARBOX. Regulation is making shipping increasingly expensive, and much less desirable.

OSG’s Morten Arntzen lifted everyone’s mood with his list of “Top Ten Challenges Facing Executives of American Shipping Companies Competing Internationally” (including finding an affordable Starbucks coffee in Europe, explaining why a suezmax built in the United States costs $240 million, and repeating “Foreign Corrupt Practices Act” 10 times). Mr. Arntzen demonstrated to the market doomsayers why the tanker industry of today is dramatically different from that of the early 70’s. He further went on to tout the merits of Sarbanes-Oxley as a significant management tool, and highlighted the benefits accruing to OSG from the recent Job Creation Act of 2004, with its attendant tonnage tax scheme for US-flag shipping.

Dean Taylor of Tidewater reiterated the challenges of doing business in the US amidst extensive and expensive regulation. Mr. Taylor’s remarks were surprisingly dour, considering the profitable condition of Tidewater and their enviable earnings multiple.

Norwegian Cruise Line’s Colin Veitch delivered an overview of how, and why, they decided to pursue a US-flag strategy despite the costs and challenges. Interestingly, it was Mr. Veitch who called upon industry to be proactive, rather than reactive, about regulation (such as environmental policies). With his extensive experience in the public sector, perhaps his suggestion to influence perception could inspire action leading to a positive image for shipping??

Last week’s Hellenic-/Norwegian-American Chambers of Commerce Joint Shipping Conference offered a plethora of luminaries from shipping’s universe. Between OSG’s Morten Arntzen, Teekay’s Sean Day, GenMar’s Peter Georgiopoulos, Tidewater’s Dean Taylor, NCL’s Colin Veitch, BP’s Bob Malone, Heidmar’s Per Heidenreich, Wilh. Wilhelmsen, Leif Hoegh, Navios’ Robert Shaw, Intrepid Shipping’s Richard du Moulin, Free Bulkers George Gourdomichalis, CR Weber’s Basil Mavroleon, Healy & Baillie’s Glen Oxton, and DNV’s Tor Svensen the bulk of the world’s tonnage was well represented.

Per Heidenreich welcomed the assembled with the observation that “2004 was the most incredible shipping market in history, with Wall Street showing an alarming interest in shipping”. He reflected that the Norwegians are “awfully quiet” and urged them to learn what “makes the Greeks tick.”

The Greek contingent was happy to comply, with George Gourdomichalis offering the strengths of the Greek approach: Piraeus as a maritime cluster, a favorable tax climate, and the transition of Greek family-owned operations to corporations. As a counterpoint, Leif Hoegh underscored the decline in Norwegian shipping, both in the bulk and tanker trades as well as in the yard order book. He further advocated the Greek regard for shipping: “When you go to Piraeus, even the taxi drivers know about tankers. Piraeus is an exhilarating place!” When pressed as to whether the Leif Hoegh company would return to Norway, Mr. Hoegh’s one-word answer was a resounding “No”.

While acknowledging the decline of Norway’s shipping sector, Marianne Lie, Director General of the Norwegian Shipowners’ Association, presented the proposed tax and legislative changes within Norway designed to reinvigorate its maritime industry. The key word is “proposed”. Tor Svensen of DNV attempted to breach the gap by offering the concept of geographic co-location, while Anthony Argyropoulos, newly at Cantor Fitzgerald, adroitly attributed the Greek interest in the capital markets to their entrepreneurial spirit, without discouraging Norwegian interest.

After an overview of the freight futures market by Robert Shaw of Navios, technological advances in this field were covered by Basil Mavroleon of CR Weber, who helped transition the conference by eliminating borders entirely. In his call to action on FFA’s (Forward Freight Agreements), Basil reflected “If, as I believe it will, this market continues to strengthen, who, with underlying physical positions can continue to ignore participation in it – surely we must all find a way to engage with it, learn to utilize it to our benefit and play some part in the growth curve”. Implementation was discussed by Barry Bednar of J. Aron & Company and Tom Even Mortensen of IMAREX.

Wilhelm Wilhelmsen offered a global perspective as the conference’s luncheon keynote speaker. His answer to whether national identity has become irrelevant was a conditional “Yes”. Despite being Norway’s oldest and largest shipping enterprise, only 5% of the company’s employees have Norwegian as their mother tongue, and only a handful of ship calls handled by the company last year were in Norway. He feels that the shipping industry is “almost unwanted by the Norwegian authorities…many (companies) feel strongly that they are literally being kicked out.” Norway is the only major shipping nation that is in decline, with the government “destroying an industry which actually has everything required to ensure good and stable revenues for my country in the future.”

Turning the focus to doing business in the Americas, Sean Day of Teekay pointed to the industry’s image in the financial markets resulting in investor differentiation, and a greater scrutiny on quality of both fleets and management. Mr. Day declared Sarbanes-Oxley a “time sink” and expensive, while acknowledging that Teekay is a foreign filer that complies with US requirements.

Bob Malone of BP Shipping stated that his company’s strategy is to own ships in order to manage risk (against incidents). He felt the need to regain the public trust by managing the company, and pointed to the benefits gained through compliance with Sarbanes-Oxley.

Peter Georgiopoulos of GenMar struck a profoundly wistful note, reflecting that he used to think shipping connoted yachts, former US President’s wives and opera singers, but quickly learned that the world of shipping revolves around OPA, ISM and SARBOX. Regulation is making shipping increasingly expensive, and much less desirable.

OSG’s Morten Arntzen lifted everyone’s mood with his list of “Top Ten Challenges Facing Executives of American Shipping Companies Competing Internationally” (including finding an affordable Starbucks coffee in Europe, explaining why a suezmax built in the United States costs $240 million, and repeating “Foreign Corrupt Practices Act” 10 times). Mr. Arntzen demonstrated to the market doomsayers why the tanker industry of today is dramatically different from that of the early 70’s. He further went on to tout the merits of Sarbanes-Oxley as a significant management tool, and highlighted the benefits accruing to OSG from the recent Job Creation Act of 2004, with its attendant tonnage tax scheme for US-flag shipping.

Dean Taylor of Tidewater reiterated the challenges of doing business in the US amidst extensive and expensive regulation. Mr. Taylor’s remarks were surprisingly dour, considering the profitable condition of Tidewater and their enviable earnings multiple.

Norwegian Cruise Line’s Colin Veitch delivered an overview of how, and why, they decided to pursue a US-flag strategy despite the costs and challenges. Interestingly, it was Mr. Veitch who called upon industry to be proactive, rather than reactive, about regulation (such as environmental policies). With his extensive experience in the public sector, perhaps his suggestion to influence perception could inspire action leading to a positive image for shipping??

Written by: carisk | Categories: Forums, Freshly Minted | February 17th, 2005 | Add a Comment