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Morgan Stanley II

Despite a pressing deadline, we couldn’t pass up the opportunity to get out of the office and attend Morgan Stanley’s 2nd Commodities and Shipping Conference. In these difficult times how could one possibly forego the opportunity to hear what Ole Slorer and his team have to say with the added benefit of gleaning some insights on the capital and lending markets. All interspersed with company presentations and lessons from Morgan Stanley’s commodities and freight trading experts. It is a rare opportunity for us to receive an invitation to these investor only meetings and we are most appreciative. Putting on an investor hat for a moment, we can confirm that if one is interested in the space there is no better way to get an education and gather information about this sector than attending these conferences. And, we did not even benefit from having a one-on-one meeting.

Wiley Griffiths, the Head of Global Shipping, and his team started us off with a view of what was happening in the market. Continuing historic trends, the markets as always remain interesting.

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Written by: | Categories: Freshly Minted, The Week in Review | June 11th, 2009 | Add a Comment

Managing Risk Management

By Mike Reardon, Vice President, IMAREX

With the unprecedented collapse of dry bulk rates over the past few months, we have seen increased inquiry from those looking to maximize their risk management capabilities.  The two most common lines of questioning we have been receiving are centered on cleared trading and the use of options.  We will address both of these concepts below in the FAQ format.

What has changed in the market that has caused people to review their risk management procedures? The simple, though unfortunate, answer is that dry bulk rates have plummeted.  The extreme nature of the decline has created concern that some parties may not be able to pay what they owe.  This counterparty concern doesn’t just apply to FFAs.  It also applies to the physical market.  When ships begin to get redelivered early, or when Charterers are unable to make hire payments on time, the potential for a ripple effect begins to work its way through the business.

Other than counterparty risk, what issues are facing the industry? Because the magnitude of the losses can be quite large, people have been asking if there is a way to hedge, but without facing unlimited downside, as they could face with simple FFAs.  The use of options allows people to hedge in this manner.  The price movement of options and FFAs are of course similar – as the price of the option depends on the price of the underlying FFA – but, with options, you can limit downside.

Sounds complicated. It can be as complicated as you want to make it, or as simple as you want to make it.  Let’s start with the concept of cleared trading first.  We can then move to options.
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Written by: | Categories: Marine Money | January 1st, 2009 | Add a Comment

A New Perspective

We are very grateful to Imarex’s Mike Reardon for introducing us last week to his colleague from Singapore, Jeffrey Landsberg. Mr. Landsberg suffers from a keen interest in the bulk markets and unlike Mike he focuses more on the physical market. This week we publish for the first time his weekly newsletter, which we will continue to do on a regular basis. We believe that the views of both Messrs Reardon and Landsberg are extremely valuable and a worthy addition to our publication. We hope you find them as useful as we do.

Written by: | Categories: Freshly Minted, Market Commentary | November 20th, 2008 | Add a Comment

Pick Your Poison

Last week, we discussed in some depth Dahlman Rose’s new dry and wet shipping indices composed of the bulk of the shares trading on the New York exchanges. In these turbulent times, we frankly prefer the diversification as well as a hand on the wheel that these products offer.

Nevertheless, for those who want a more pure play and are not adverse to roller coaster rides, Imarex presented their new Baltic Exchange Dry Index (“BDI”) Futures product at the JPMorgan Shipping Futures Teach-in last week. Investors, today, can invest in dry bulk shares, trade FFAs or trade commodity related ETFs to play in the commodity growth story. Imarex envisions the BDIFutures as a complementary tool. BDIFutures is an index futures contract based upon the BDI and can be traded on direction, as a hedge against dry bulk equities or as a spread against FFAs.

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Written by: | Categories: Freshly Minted, Market Commentary | June 26th, 2008 | Add a Comment

That Was The Week That Was

Marine Money’s flagship conference came to New York this week and if you were a kid you might refer to it as a three- ring circus. With the conference as the centerpiece, the week has become filled not only with the usual owner/banker meetings but formal presentations and the usual bevy of social events. The numbers are astounding with over 1,000 delegates registered this year, exceeding by far all previous years. In fact, as quickly as we printed a copy of the delegate list, we found it to be obsolete.

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Written by: | Categories: Conferences, Freshly Minted | June 19th, 2008 | Add a Comment

Athenian and Viking Confab

In front of a packed crowd at the New York Helmsley, the Hellenic-American and Norwegian-American Chambers of Commerce held their 14th Annual Joint Shipping Conference under the catchy title “Are the Bulls and the Bears Right?”

The day started off with derivatives, a tough topic for early in the morning. Nevertheless, the presenters pulled it off and kept everyone interested. To start off Robert Shaw of Mystras Ventures gave a great overview and primer on freight derivatives. In particular, he emphasized their importance of derivatives for hedging but noted that freight volatility and correlation with other commodities has attracted financial players into the market, a recurrent theme.

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Written by: | Categories: Freshly Minted, The Week in Review | February 7th, 2008 | Add a Comment

New York Conference Features Shipping Star Power

New York Conference Features Shipping Star Power
Last week’s Hellenic-/Norwegian-American Chambers of Commerce Joint Shipping Conference offered a plethora of luminaries from shipping’s universe. Between OSG’s Morten Arntzen, Teekay’s Sean Day, GenMar’s Peter Georgiopoulos, Tidewater’s Dean Taylor, NCL’s Colin Veitch, BP’s Bob Malone, Heidmar’s Per Heidenreich, Wilh. Wilhelmsen, Leif Hoegh, Navios’ Robert Shaw, Intrepid Shipping’s Richard du Moulin, Free Bulkers George Gourdomichalis, CR Weber’s Basil Mavroleon, Healy & Baillie’s Glen Oxton, and DNV’s Tor Svensen the bulk of the world’s tonnage was well represented.
The theme of the conference was “Shipping without Borders” which transcended from national identity to the impact of new technologies and landed squarely on the challenges of doing business in America.  Or should we say the many challenges of doing business in the (50) States?
Per Heidenreich welcomed the assembled with the observation that “2004 was the most incredible shipping market in history, with Wall Street showing an alarming interest in shipping”.  He reflected that the Norwegians are “awfully quiet” and urged them to learn what “makes the Greeks tick.”
The Greek contingent was happy to comply, with George Gourdomichalis offering the strengths of the Greek approach:  Piraeus as a maritime cluster, a favorable tax climate, and the transition of Greek family-owned operations to corporations.  As a counterpoint, Leif Hoegh underscored the decline in Norwegian shipping, both in the bulk and tanker trades as well as in the yard order book.   He further advocated the Greek regard for shipping:  “When you go to Piraeus, even the taxi drivers know about tankers.  Piraeus is an exhilarating place!” When pressed as to whether the Leif Hoegh company would return to Norway, Mr. Hoegh’s one-word answer was a resounding “No”.
While acknowledging the decline of Norway’s shipping sector, Marianne Lie, Director General of the Norwegian Shipowners’ Association, presented the proposed tax and legislative changes within Norway designed to reinvigorate its maritime industry.  The key word is “proposed”. Tor Svensen of DNV attempted to breach the gap by offering the concept of geographic co-location, while Anthony Argyropoulos, newly at Cantor Fitzgerald, adroitly attributed the Greek interest in the capital markets to their entrepreneurial spirit, without discouraging Norwegian interest.
After an overview of the freight futures market by Robert Shaw of Navios, technological advances in this field were covered by Basil Mavroleon of CR Weber, who helped transition the conference by eliminating borders entirely.  In his call to action on FFA’s (Forward Freight Agreements), Basil reflected “If, as I believe it will, this market continues to strengthen, who, with underlying physical positions can continue to ignore participation in it – surely we must all find a way to engage with it, learn to utilize it to our benefit and play some part in the growth curve”.  Implementation was discussed by Barry Bednar of J. Aron & Company and Tom Even Mortensen of IMAREX.
Wilhelm Wilhelmsen offered a global perspective as the conference’s luncheon keynote speaker. His answer to whether national identity has become irrelevant was a conditional “Yes”. Despite being Norway’s oldest and largest shipping enterprise, only 5% of the company’s employees have Norwegian as their mother tongue, and only a handful of ship calls handled by the company last year were in Norway. He feels that the shipping industry is “almost unwanted by the Norwegian authorities…many (companies) feel strongly that they are literally being kicked out.” Norway is the only major shipping nation that is in decline, with the government “destroying an industry which actually has everything required to ensure good and stable revenues for my country in the future.”
Turning the focus to doing business in the Americas, Sean Day of Teekay pointed to the industry’s image in the financial markets resulting in investor differentiation, and a greater scrutiny on quality of both fleets and management. Mr. Day declared Sarbanes-Oxley a “time sink” and expensive, while acknowledging that Teekay is a foreign filer that complies with US requirements.
Bob Malone of BP Shipping stated that his company’s strategy is to own ships in order to manage risk (against incidents).  He felt the need to regain the public trust by managing the company, and pointed to the benefits gained through compliance with Sarbanes-Oxley.
Peter Georgiopoulos of GenMar struck a profoundly wistful note, reflecting that he used to think shipping connoted yachts, former US President’s wives and opera singers, but quickly learned that the world of shipping revolves around OPA, ISM and SARBOX.  Regulation is making shipping increasingly expensive, and much less desirable.
OSG’s Morten Arntzen lifted everyone’s mood with his list of “Top Ten Challenges Facing Executives of American Shipping Companies Competing Internationally” (including finding an affordable Starbucks coffee in Europe, explaining why a suezmax built in the United States costs $240 million, and repeating “Foreign Corrupt Practices Act” 10 times). Mr. Arntzen demonstrated to the market doomsayers why the tanker industry of today is dramatically different from that of the early 70’s.  He further went on to tout the merits of Sarbanes-Oxley as a significant management tool, and highlighted the benefits accruing to OSG from the recent Job Creation Act of 2004, with its attendant tonnage tax scheme for US-flag shipping.
Dean Taylor of Tidewater reiterated the challenges of doing business in the US amidst extensive and expensive regulation. Mr. Taylor’s remarks were surprisingly dour, considering the profitable condition of Tidewater and their enviable earnings multiple.
Norwegian Cruise Line’s Colin Veitch delivered an overview of how, and why, they decided to pursue a US-flag strategy despite the costs and challenges.  Interestingly, it was Mr. Veitch who called upon industry to be proactive, rather than reactive, about regulation (such as environmental policies).  With his extensive experience in the public sector, perhaps his suggestion to influence perception could inspire action leading to a positive image for shipping??
Last week’s Hellenic-/Norwegian-American Chambers of Commerce Joint Shipping Conference offered a plethora of luminaries from shipping’s universe. Between OSG’s Morten Arntzen, Teekay’s Sean Day, GenMar’s Peter Georgiopoulos, Tidewater’s Dean Taylor, NCL’s Colin Veitch, BP’s Bob Malone, Heidmar’s Per Heidenreich, Wilh. Wilhelmsen, Leif Hoegh, NaviosRobert Shaw, Intrepid Shipping’s Richard du Moulin, Free Bulkers George Gourdomichalis, CR Weber’s Basil Mavroleon, Healy & Baillie’s Glen Oxton, and DNV’s Tor Svensen the bulk of the world’s tonnage was well represented.
The theme of the conference was “Shipping without Borders” which transcended from national identity to the impact of new technologies and landed squarely on the challenges of doing business in America.  Or should we say the many challenges of doing business in the (50) States?
Per Heidenreich welcomed the assembled with the observation that “2004 was the most incredible shipping market in history, with Wall Street showing an alarming interest in shipping”.  He reflected that the Norwegians are “awfully quiet” and urged them to learn what “makes the Greeks tick.”
The Greek contingent was happy to comply, with George Gourdomichalis offering the strengths of the Greek approach:  Piraeus as a maritime cluster, a favorable tax climate, and the transition of Greek family-owned operations to corporations.  As a counterpoint, Leif Hoegh underscored the decline in Norwegian shipping, both in the bulk and tanker trades as well as in the yard order book.   He further advocated the Greek regard for shipping:  “When you go to Piraeus, even the taxi drivers know about tankers.  Piraeus is an exhilarating place!” When pressed as to whether the Leif Hoegh company would return to Norway, Mr. Hoegh’s one-word answer was a resounding “No”.
While acknowledging the decline of Norway’s shipping sector, Marianne Lie, Director General of the Norwegian Shipowners’ Association, presented the proposed tax and legislative changes within Norway designed to reinvigorate its maritime industry.  The key word is “proposed”. Tor Svensen of DNV attempted to breach the gap by offering the concept of geographic co-location, while Anthony Argyropoulos, newly at Cantor Fitzgerald, adroitly attributed the Greek interest in the capital markets to their entrepreneurial spirit, without discouraging Norwegian interest.
After an overview of the freight futures market by Robert Shaw of Navios, technological advances in this field were covered by Basil Mavroleon of CR Weber, who helped transition the conference by eliminating borders entirely.  In his call to action on FFA’s (Forward Freight Agreements), Basil reflected “If, as I believe it will, this market continues to strengthen, who, with underlying physical positions can continue to ignore participation in it – surely we must all find a way to engage with it, learn to utilize it to our benefit and play some part in the growth curve”.  Implementation was discussed by Barry Bednar of J. Aron & Company and Tom Even Mortensen of IMAREX.
Wilhelm Wilhelmsen offered a global perspective as the conference’s luncheon keynote speaker. His answer to whether national identity has become irrelevant was a conditional “Yes”. Despite being Norway’s oldest and largest shipping enterprise, only 5% of the company’s employees have Norwegian as their mother tongue, and only a handful of ship calls handled by the company last year were in Norway. He feels that the shipping industry is “almost unwanted by the Norwegian authorities…many (companies) feel strongly that they are literally being kicked out.” Norway is the only major shipping nation that is in decline, with the government “destroying an industry which actually has everything required to ensure good and stable revenues for my country in the future.”
Turning the focus to doing business in the Americas, Sean Day of Teekay pointed to the industry’s image in the financial markets resulting in investor differentiation, and a greater scrutiny on quality of both fleets and management. Mr. Day declared Sarbanes-Oxley a “time sink” and expensive, while acknowledging that Teekay is a foreign filer that complies with US requirements.
Bob Malone of BP Shipping stated that his company’s strategy is to own ships in order to manage risk (against incidents).  He felt the need to regain the public trust by managing the company, and pointed to the benefits gained through compliance with Sarbanes-Oxley.
Peter Georgiopoulos of GenMar struck a profoundly wistful note, reflecting that he used to think shipping connoted yachts, former US President’s wives and opera singers, but quickly learned that the world of shipping revolves around OPA, ISM and SARBOX.  Regulation is making shipping increasingly expensive, and much less desirable.
OSG’s Morten Arntzen lifted everyone’s mood with his list of “Top Ten Challenges Facing Executives of American Shipping Companies Competing Internationally” (including finding an affordable Starbucks coffee in Europe, explaining why a suezmax built in the United States costs $240 million, and repeating “Foreign Corrupt Practices Act” 10 times). Mr. Arntzen demonstrated to the market doomsayers why the tanker industry of today is dramatically different from that of the early 70’s.  He further went on to tout the merits of Sarbanes-Oxley as a significant management tool, and highlighted the benefits accruing to OSG from the recent Job Creation Act of 2004, with its attendant tonnage tax scheme for US-flag shipping.
Dean Taylor of Tidewater reiterated the challenges of doing business in the US amidst extensive and expensive regulation. Mr. Taylor’s remarks were surprisingly dour, considering the profitable condition of Tidewater and their enviable earnings multiple.
Norwegian Cruise Line’s Colin Veitch delivered an overview of how, and why, they decided to pursue a US-flag strategy despite the costs and challenges.  Interestingly, it was Mr. Veitch who called upon industry to be proactive, rather than reactive, about regulation (such as environmental policies).  With his extensive experience in the public sector, perhaps his suggestion to influence perception could inspire action leading to a positive image for shipping??
Written by: | Categories: Forums, Freshly Minted | February 17th, 2005 | Add a Comment

Freight Derivatives Trading and Value At Risk in Shipping

By Finn Dalheim

What is happening in the Freight Derivatives Markets?

Ocean freight derivatives markets are alive and growing, in spite of the closure of Enron Online and BIFFEX in 2001. A number of new participants have been coming into the market, and there is strong demand for freight derivatives traders. The main growth has been in OTC (Overthe-Counter) dry cargo swaps or FFAs (Forward Freight Agreements), but tanker swaps are catching up fast. At the end of 2001 Imarex (International Maritime Exchange ASA) launched its first tanker freight futures contracts. With solid backing from major players in the market, including ship owners and oil companies, Imarex is likely to show strong volume growth in both tanker and dry cargo futures during 2002. This will also be positive for the OTC market.

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Written by: | Categories: Uncategorized | June 1st, 2002 | Add a Comment
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