Moving from the theoretical to the concrete, the following examples illustrate the real cost of today’s crises:
Genco Bites the Bullet
On Tuesday, Genco Shipping & Trading (“Genco”) made the correct but painful decision to cancel the previously announced acquisition of six dry bulk newbuildings, including three Capesize and three handysize vessels, from Lambert Navigation et.al., at an aggregate purchase price of $530 million. As part of the agreement, the sellers will retain the deposits totaling $53 million. The three Capesize vessels and three Handysize vessels are being constructed in the Daehan and Jinse shipyards in South Korea, with deliveries commencing in the 4th quarter 2008 (two Handysize) through 2009.
Despite the difficult environment, a veritable who’s who of the shipping community descended on the Jefferies 5th Annual Shipping, Logistics & Offshore Services Conference on Tuesday and Wednesday.
We must confess that walking in at the uncivilized hour of 8 AM to a sparse crowd and seeing Jefferies Magic Eight Balls gave us pause. Was Hamish making a market statement or was he merely giving investors a new forecasting tool? Our conclusion was probably both.
For a Wall Street analyst the annual Wall Street Journal Best on the Street rankings is like an AcademyAward, only worth more, certainlyto those investors who bought basis the winning analysts picks.
This year Scott Burk at JPMorgan, but Bear Stearns when his picks were made (JPM acquired Bear Stearns in a sub-prime fire sale last March) came out number one in the Industrial Transportation classification. Doug Mavrinac of Jefferies & Co came in second and Omar Nokta with Dahlman Rose grabbed the third spot.
Last week D/S Norden (“Norden”) held its first Capital Markets Day in New York at the prestigious Four Seasons Hotel. The event was hosted by Mr. Ivar Hansson Myklebust, EVP and CFO, and Mr. Martin Badsted, VP & Head of Corporate Secretariat. As this was the premier event in N.Y., the crowd was relatively small but high powered and included, among others, key New York shipping analysts Natasha Boyden of Cantor, Doug Mavrinac of Jefferies, Glenn Muller from JP Morgan and Michael Webber from Wachovia. Others in the audience included investors as well as Peter Shaerf of AMA.
The company allocated three hours for the presentation and Q&A session and we are struggling how to distill the in-depth presentation and do it justice. Objectivity is also an issue as we are ardent admirers of the company’s rather unique market approach and strategy. With that said, here are our key takeaways and our favorite slides from their presentation.