Links
More Normal?
Dealogic released its first half tables on Wednesday and they resembled, at least in terms of names, what we more typically expect, particularly in the case of the bookrunner table. Nevertheless, the newcomers from the 1st quarter did retain positions on the leader board. Total deal value grew to $17.5 billion comprised of 50 deals, versus the year earlier $43.1 billion comprised of 165 deals, continuing an expected trend. However on a quarter over quarter comparison, transaction volume declined a substantial 47.3% this year marking an even more worrisome trend.
The top 20 bookrunner table underwent the most change as it filled out from 8 banks in the first quarter to 17 in the first half. SMBC held on to first position increasing its volume by 71% and its market share to 6.5%. Nordea returned jumping to 2nd place with a 3.5% market share. SBI Capital fell to 3rd place with Mizhuo and DnB NOR rounding out the top 5. DnB Nor’s placement is significant and representative of its size and importance as its lending, oft repeated, is strictly limited to run-off. In addition to Nordea, the usual European suspects are back, including KfW, BNP Paribas, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, Citi, SG CIB and Calyon. RHB Investment Bank of Malyasia and Axis Bank of India were new entrants and added to the already significant Asian representation.
Morgan Stanley II
Despite a pressing deadline, we couldn’t pass up the opportunity to get out of the office and attend Morgan Stanley’s 2nd Commodities and Shipping Conference. In these difficult times how could one possibly forego the opportunity to hear what Ole Slorer and his team have to say with the added benefit of gleaning some insights on the capital and lending markets. All interspersed with company presentations and lessons from Morgan Stanley’s commodities and freight trading experts. It is a rare opportunity for us to receive an invitation to these investor only meetings and we are most appreciative. Putting on an investor hat for a moment, we can confirm that if one is interested in the space there is no better way to get an education and gather information about this sector than attending these conferences. And, we did not even benefit from having a one-on-one meeting.
Wiley Griffiths, the Head of Global Shipping, and his team started us off with a view of what was happening in the market. Continuing historic trends, the markets as always remain interesting.
Few Surprises But Nonetheless Interesting
A quarter, particularly the first one, does not make a year, but according to the first quarter Dealogic tables, which we received today, the axis of the ship financial world has tipped eastward. Looking at the Top 20 Bookrunner Table of which there are only eight, Asian banks populate four of the places including the three top spots, which are held by SMBC and SBI Capital Markets (State Bank of India), and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (“Misubishi UFJ”) respectively. In the case of the Top 20 MLA Table, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and HSBC took the top two spots and three other Asian banks populate the top 20. Total volume for the quarter was $10.6 billion, continuing the downward trend since 2007. However for those who see a glass as half full this quarters volume is in line with the comparable periods in 2005 and 2006. Is it too early to say we are reverting to the norm?
3rd Quarter Report Card
Last week, Dealogic published its 3rd quarter scorecard measuring the performance of the syndicated loan market for shipping transactions. Below we have reproduced their tables showing the Top 20 Mandated Lead Arrangers and Bookrunners for the nine-month period. As far as first and second place are concerned there is no surprise as Nordea and DnB Nor continue to battle it out with Nordea taking top honors as bookrunner and DnB Nor in first place, by the closest of margins, as mandated arranger.
The Week in Review
The money, apparently, is in oil as two of the industry’s biggest gurus, John Fredriksen and George Economou, both make aggressive plays into the rig space. Mr. Fredriksen, of course, has long been making investments into various facets of the offshore industry and has either spawned or acquired a bevy of offshore companies to that end. It was hardly earth shattering this week when Seadrill announced that it had acquired 200,000 shares and entered into forwards to acquire 16,300,000 shares in US-listed Pride International, an offshore company with a market capitalization of $7.2 billion. The shares amount to a 9.9% stake, worth around $708 million. The move prompted Pride International to take action to lower the threshold level of ownership to trigger its stockholder rights plan from 15% to 10%. Seadrill has also asked Pride for a meeting to discuss “potential strategic benefits for both parties of a transaction between the two companies.” A merger could be on the cards – or it could not be. Mr. Fredriksen has shown himself as skillful an investor as an acquirer, using each strategy as it suits him.
CMA-CGM Finds Public Buyers in Marathon
Private equity funds have long had a glamorous reputation as the real movers and shakers in the financial world, buying and selling companies at will and making tremendous returns for their partners and investors. While they are under some pressure now as the easy access to capital they rely upon has been hampered, this was not so in 2006. And it is the 2006 crop of SPACs that is just now coming to maturity, driving the volume of acquisitions by SPACs to $3.9 billion so far this year, more than six times the comparable period in 2007, according to Dealogic.
It was in just this time period, in August 2006 to be precise, that Marathon Acquisition Corp came to the public markets, backed by Michael Gross, a founding partner of private equity powerhouse Apollo. Fast forward to February 2008, however, and Mr. Gross’s SPAC was quickly closing in on its deadline to announce an acquisition target or risk being liquidated. Continue Reading
The Official Guide To Marine Finance Providers
Shipping Index
