Full House in Athens – Part 2

By Kevin Oates

…in the longer term shipping should correct but quality, transparency and financial strength are key to survival.

Despite the tough market and the general lack of ship finance, Marine Money’s Greek Ship Finance Forum again filled the seats in Athens.  With 310 delegates and speakers and some 40 more for the TEN Ltd lunch, there was plenty gossip and exchange of views at the 11th Annual conference held on the 8th of October 2009.

The event had started with a speaker’s dinner the previous night co-hosted by Navios Maritime Holdings and was to end in the early hours of the following morning at the Capital Party co-hosted by Capital Product Partners LP at a well-known Athens nightclub.  Even if the market is tough, we still know how to enjoy ourselves.

Back at the conference, our day began with Guy Verberne, a leading economist at Fortis Bank (Nederland) telling us that the economic recovery has come and it may well be sustainable.  China, he says, has plenty foreign reserves to prolong it’s stimulus package for as long as it needs and he sees no meaningful cutbacks from the stimulus packages of western governments, at least through 2010.  A risk is a double dip in 2011 if we get too bogged down in debt.
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Don’t Throw the Baby Out with the Bath Water or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Fundamentals (with thanks to Stanley Kubrick)

With a full house, Simon Rose began Dahlman Rose’s 1st Annual Global Transportation Conference confessing that despite Wall Street’s having spent years educating investors as to the difference between period and spot business they have largely been ineffective. We disagree with this assessment believing the current market reflects a herd instinct and an avoidance of betting against the tape. The companies presenting at the conference are all clearly differentiated from spot players, with visibility of earnings and cash flows yet their shares have also been pummeled as the BDI continues its decline. Mr. Rose exhorted the crowd to take advantage of this anomaly, take a reality check and not to trade on fear.
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